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The end of Bitcoin’s small rally, should we expect more price drops?

پایان رالی کوچک بیت کوین، آیا باید منتظر کاهش بیشتر قیمت باشیم؟

It seems that the upward trend of Bitcoin over the past few days has been influenced by the prevailing economic conditions. After a drop of about $800 from yesterday’s peak price, Bitcoin is back at $20,000. In such a situation, stabilizing the price and restarting the growth process seems very difficult.

To Report Bitcoin is currently trading around $20,171 on the Bitstamp exchange, after hitting $21,012 yesterday, according to data from Cointelegraph, TradingView and Cointelegraph Markets Pro.

The end of Bitcoin's small rally, should we expect more price drops?
One-hour chart of the price of Bitcoin / USD (Bitstamp exchange)

With the S&P 500 flat and the Nasdaq down 1 percent (at the time of writing) at the Wall Street open, Bitcoin was unchanged in line with the US stock market.

At the same time, the US Dollar Index (DXY) began to recoup its daily losses. This prevented riskier assets from rising in price, which had remained stagnant for most of the week.

The end of Bitcoin's small rally, should we expect more price drops?
Hourly chart of the US dollar index

The release of gross domestic product (GDP) data ahead of the Federal Reserve’s announcement of new interest rates showed that the US economy grew in the third quarter of 2022.

However, Eric Winograd, director of developed markets economics research at AllianceBernstein, told the Financial Times:

this number [تولید ناخالص داخلی] It’s weaker than the previous number in terms of the message it sends about the growing strength of the economy, even if it’s positive on the surface.

As expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) raised key rates – the interest rate at which banks can borrow if they run out of reserves – by 0.75 percentage points.

Michael van de Poppe (Michaël van de Poppe), the founder and CEO of Maalati company “Eight” said about this:

Today is a big day as the European Central Bank enters the fray with the US with this policy and GDP numbers. Honestly, Bitcoin will remain at this price level and expect a significant price correction before starting to grow.

The latest data from CMA Group’s FedWatch tool shows a 90.8% probability of a 0.75 percentage point interest rate increase by the Federal Reserve.

The end of Bitcoin's small rally, should we expect more price drops?
A chart of the Federal Reserve’s possible target rate

Analyzing the weekly chart of the Bitcoin/USD price, popular trader Rekt Capital pointed to the area below $22,000 as an important area for the price to recover and continue the upward trend. He wrote an analysis on October 26 (November 4):

Bitcoin is slowly approaching the red resistance zone.

The end of Bitcoin's small rally, should we expect more price drops?

Il Capo of Crypto, on the other hand, said that if the bulls want to see Bitcoin reach $23,000, establishing resistance at $21,500 as a base is essential.

His main prediction is to create a new price floor for the Bitcoin/USD pair, possibly up to the $14,000 mark.

The end of Bitcoin's small rally, should we expect more price drops?

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